The Eternal Sunshine of the
Wattless Mind?
In a forbearing profile of the British
Chancellor of the Exchequer, the Sunday
Telegraph (18 March 2012) records,
‘George Osborne is probably the
first chancellor in modern history to take a two-day holiday a week before the
budget. His decision to do so speaks eloquently about his approach to the job …
his predecessors are amazed at his ability to spend so little time on the job’.
Osborne returned from holiday to
appear on the BBC in order to promise a ‘crackdown’ on foreigners not paying
enough stamp duty on the real estate they buy in London; stamp duty on
purchases over £5m will be raised from 5 to 7 percent. Big deal. My back of the envelope calculation suggests this will raise at best £40m over 12 months, compared to forecast revenues last year of £589B. This is a
made-for-television policy.
The Telegraph unwittingly put their finger on it when it concluded ‘… we can see the outlines of Osbornism. It is
not an economic doctrine: it is the absence of economic doctrine’. That
captures it: the Chancellor’s mind is perfectly unsullied by any economic
principle.
Of course, we get the politicians
that we deserve. And their minds, too. In 1936 Keynes, in the last paragraph of General Theory, judged that his
contemporary public was ‘impatient … for fundamental diagnosis’. (The
completely unheralded success of the launch of Penguin books that year is one corroboration
Keynes’ contention). Did not that ‘impatience’
exert an influence on the character of the body politic? In that year a future a
Chancellor of the Exchequer, Hugh Gaitskell, was head of the Department of Economics
at University College, London, spending a good part of his energies mastering
Hayekian trade cycle theory, and arguing against
quasi-Keynesian remedies that appealed to his Labour colleagues. We cannot imagine any politician today taking
difficult economic thought so seriously. But, correspondingly, we cannot
imagine the public having any hunger for ‘fundamental diagnosis’. In the midst
of our listing economic system, we have suddenly burgeoning not Penguin books, but Twitter.
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